Jan 3, 2025
7:50:40pm
7:50:40pm
First, like I said, I don't know how FPI works. Does whoever have the lower FPI
in a match up is predicted to win?
With a rate of 52%, that doesn't sound to me like great rankings. That's close enough to 50% which doesn't tell me who is better. In the long run it wouldn't be that unreasonable that the worse FPI ranked team would win 4 in a row in which case we would all think that team was better. A
With a rate of 52%, that doesn't sound to me like great rankings. That's close enough to 50% which doesn't tell me who is better. In the long run it wouldn't be that unreasonable that the worse FPI ranked team would win 4 in a row in which case we would all think that team was better. A
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- sah22
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- Jan 6, 2025
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Jan 3, 10:30am
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Ratings after 13-14 games this late into the season are based off a lot more than the outcome of a single game
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Jan 3, 6:12pm
I’m too dumb to understand everything, but is he suggesting that espn arbitrarily is keeping big XII teams lower?
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Jan 3, 12:50pm
OK you go bet money against Vegas with your "fair" model and someone else can use the FPI (52.8% against the spread)
Jan 3, 12:56pm
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That’s most of it. People want to blame recruiting rankings, or past results, and all types of other stuff
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If you can most accurately predict who wins games and by what score, then why would that not also be telling you who the
Jan 3, 7:04pm
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