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Oct 31, 2024
2:37:48pm
RoboKayne 3rd String
I have been dreading everything all the time. C'est la vie. Everything is always
changing. We'll never be young again like we were.

Also, I do not understand how we would ever get money for a stadium in light of what our NIL output is going to have to be to stay competitive:

1. Ole Miss has a $10M roster, from what I'm hearing. $1M is a good price for a starting QB in the NIL era.
2. Historically I believe that donations to the athletic department are less than $26M / year.
( Based on this financial report: https://athleticsannualreport.byu.edu/cougar-club-highlights/donor-report, 13% of revenue came from Cougar Club donations in 2019. The biggest of big dog programs have ~$200M in revenue per year. BYU's numbers are not public. To estimate donations, assume $200M athletic revenue (generous) and take x 13% of it (since CC donations are 13 % of rev). This gives $26M max.)
3. How does a donor base that historically coughs up < $26M / year for decades starts paying tens of millions of dollars in NIL salares per year per year without also cutting into athletic department donations? Don't forget, people think we will spend $9M on just Dybantsa alone.

(Maybe total donations go up, maybe some whale steps in, maybe facilities upgrades are not so much from the Cougar Club, but are more from one-time gifts, etc. etc.) Either way, my point is, shouldn't facility upgrades happen a *lot* less now than they ever have in the past? We are not increasing the size of the college sports pie. We are just allowing all discretionary fan money to flow to players directly.

(Finally, I don't see how the NIL era continues as it is now. Tens of millions of dollars are easily worth it if it lets your team win. The problem is that if every school is fielding a multimillion dollar roster, then the NIL money is not buying victory; it is buying a median amount of success. Will people really put up with that? Will donors really shell out just to stay in the middle of the pack? I wonder if college sports will be over within 20 years. How can it not collapse? The price will climb to infinity as the product remains the same . . . basically 12 episodes per year of my favorite TV show, except with an ever more tenuous connection to my life and experiences.)
RoboKayne
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RoboKayne
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Feb 22, 2024
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Oct 31, 2024
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