You aren't seriously be using the vegas odds as a better metric, are you?

Oct 14, 2024
1:46:51pm

Brandoblueblood Playmaker

You do realize we've beat the Vegas line in every single game "we've" played, right? And most times, blew them out of the water. They've been horribly unpredictive.

By the same logic, we're actually 1-5 right now.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Oct 14, 2024 at 1:46:51pm

Message modified by Brandoblueblood on Oct 14, 2024 at 1:47:39pm

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Brandoblueblood

Bio page: Brandoblueblood
Joined: Nov 20, 2020
Last login: Oct 14, 2024
Total posts: 2,810 (1 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

A lot of people say to not worry about the polls but I think

BigHouse Coug

1:41pm

The reason? Pollsters like to confuse recruiting rankings with on-field performance.

Bob Vance

1:42pm

Of the teams ahead of BYU, how many would BYU be favored in? They may be off but I don't see much

Baron

1:43pm

i would take BYU over several of them. especially given the consistency of BYU and the inconsistency

FieroCoug

1:45pm

Specifically, who would you take BYU over? Bama? LSU? Penn State?

Baron

1:46pm

Penn state, miami, ND, ISU, and then based on several of other teams games i could see BYU beating tenn,

FieroCoug

1:49pm

So you think BYU is better than Miami, ND, ISU. Because it is not about

Baron

1:52pm

yes. miami isn’t good and i would take BYU over ND and ISU.

FieroCoug

2:15pm

You aren't seriously be using the vegas odds as a better metric, are you?

Brandoblueblood

1:46pm

Just tell me who you think we are better than that is front of us and based on what?

Baron

1:51pm

All but the two in front of us according to the Strength of Record. Howboutdat?

Brandoblueblood

1:58pm

Which two? So you have BYU better than Bama or Georgia or Texas. Curious which one.

Baron

1:58pm

That's not saying a whole lot since we beat the spread every game.

BigHouse Coug

1:48pm

the big names make the money for everyone involved in the polls. the media, voters, conferences, etc.

FieroCoug

1:44pm

Because polling is about streaks.

mudpupper

1:46pm

Dumb

RGGeemer

1:49pm

BYU has a longer and better streak than most everybody in the top 10

FieroCoug

1:50pm

But we started lower so it doesn't count. It's so dumb.

RGGeemer

1:55pm

The post focuses too much on losses and not enough on wins. I do think we have a

Odysseus

1:50pm

I think early in the season pollsters are more willing to make massive

jwalk

1:50pm

Yep - polls are all about recency bias

MarylandFan

1:52pm

Early season polls can jump around quite a bit. The further we get into the

mudpupper

1:59pm

This is an AP poll problem, not a CFP committee problem.

TCuz

1:51pm

Like it or not the playoff committee also also shows bias

BigHouse Coug

1:59pm

Vegas uses some preseason data too. It’s because they all find that it makes their systems more accurate, not less

TCuz

2:11pm

"The best team" is totally arbitrary then.

BigHouse Coug

2:21pm

Of course. It’s subjective. The committee is king. But they usually end up agreeing with the old BCS simulation.

TCuz

2:24pm

With a 12 team playoff it mostly won't matter. This stuff can finally be

porl thompson

1:58pm

The Big 12 winner will be in for sure but everyone else is at the mercy

BigHouse Coug

2:07pm

BYU is closer to #8 LSU than #14 T-A&M. Only 103 points separate 8 from 13.

Captain Stubing

2:00pm

An apologist's perspective: wins matter too

Doogal McCougar

2:03pm

Ok then we should be ranked 6th 😉

BigHouse Coug

2:10pm

I would rank based on resume...and that puts BYU at #3

Doogal McCougar

3:08pm

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