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Sep 11, 2024
3:05:31pm
krindorr Playmaker
It's a REALLY strong relationship
I looked at which players were eventually drafted.... and it tracks really well with a power series where the likelihood of being an NFL drafted player goes exponentially higher as the player rating increases.

5deeb520558d96e57611fb22e9a83d4d.png

Granted, I went with 247 composite and therefore binned them into bins which spanned 1.99 ratings point, but the relationship was REALLY strong and provides a pretty good estimate for each recruit rating based on the trendline. R^2 of 0.9699

So, yeah the difference does get larger as ratings get higher.... but it's the same level of exponential growth at every level.

https://www.cougarboard.com/board/message.html?id=33199569

As you mentioned, there's variance among the individual players and a real chance that a specific 85 could end up better than a specific 87.... but in large numbers the 87s are statistically and notably going to be better
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Sep 11, 2024 at 3:05:31pm
Message modified by krindorr on Sep 11, 2024 at 3:08:00pm
krindorr
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krindorr
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