I noticed all of the above examples are BYU vs Iowa State (which makes sense since that's the most likely CCG participants above).
Mind sharing a few scenarios of Colorado undefeated rest of way with BYU playing KState in CCG? I assume those are almost exclusively with Iowa State having 2 losses (probably Cinci/Kstate)? Thanks for the info. These are really interesting to me.
In the CO win-out scenario you posted, the top left column is 1.5%. Is that the odds of CO winning out the rest of the season? I would have thought it be higher than that. Assuming that's what that is, what is probability of BYU only having 0 or 1 loss and ISU 0, 1, 2 losses (basically the 'Probability of Each team making the CCG given total wins', but instead of probability of CCG, just the probability of those records)? I'm assuming this is easy data since it appears automated. Thanks, again!