Nov 18, 2024
2:06:23pm
2:06:23pm
| Result vs ASU | Result vs Houston | Result in CCG | Likelihood of Scenario (per FPI) | Playoff Odds | Bye Odds | Home Playoff % | 1st Round Road % |
| W | W | W | 19.3% | >99% | 97% | 0% | 2% |
| W | W | L | 19.3% | 34% | 0% | 6% | 28% |
| W | L | W | 1.5% | 89% | 41% | 1% | 47% |
| W | L | L | 1.5% | <1% | 0% | 0% | <1% |
| W | L | N/A | 3.0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| L | W | W | 8.0% | 88% | 40% | 1% | 47% |
| L | W | L | 8.0% | <1% | 0% | 0% | <1% |
| L | W | N/A | 32.1% | 5% | 0% | <1% | 4% |
| L | L | N/A | 7.5% | <1% | 0 | 0% | <1% |
| Overall Odds | 36.0% | 22.5% | 1.6% | 11.8% |
Odds of winning each game (per ESPN FPI) are 44.6% against ASU, 86.5% against Houston, and (for simplicity) I'm assuming 50/50 in a CCG scenario
For all the caterwauling, 36% odds of making the playoff is pretty amazing when you consider how down we were at the start of the year.
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- krindorr
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