...this past draft. Now, granted, there is small sample size (I haven't analyzed any other year other than 2024)

But the top 1000 players drafted should align to something like this:

5* = 3.5%
4* = 41.5%
3* 86+ = 55%

Here are those ratios compared to actual draft picks:

5* (4.26%) - overperform by 22%
4* (32.95%) - underperformed by 21%
3* (47.29%) - underperformed by 16%

But if you combine 3*, 2* and NR it's (62.8%) - Overperformed by 14%