And a BYU who wins out (ASU, Houston, CCG) is in and above Boise (and Army)

So there's not a lot of room between those for Army to become a problem if BYU beats ASU. But you're right. If BYU beats ASU, but loses to Houston (or if a 2 loss ASU beats BYU and then wins the conference), then there is a chance that both 1-loss (to Oregon) Boise St and an undefeated Army team could get one of the 5 autobids and leave the 2 (or more) loss Big 12 champ out. Though if that conference champ is anyone besides BYU, it's obviously less relevant to us