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Nov 21, 2024
1:14
:41
pm
Greg4BYU
All-American
Almost. If BYU beats ASU and LOSES to Houston BYU is still in the CCG if...
Colorado loses one of their last two (Kansas or Oklahoma State)
OR...
Iowa State loses one of their last two (Utah or Kansas State)
So pretty good chances still even if BYU loses to Houston
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Greg4BYU
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Greg4BYU
Joined
Jan 14, 2003
Last login
Nov 21, 2024
Total posts
1,740 (31 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Here's a fun and confusing way to look at most likely CCG teams after this week
zuko
12:21pm
BYU is 100% in the CCG if BYU wins and *either* Colorado OR Iowa St loses 1 more
Greg4BYU
12:28pm
...so we do not need to feel forced to cheer for Utah on either Saturday
Greg4BYU
12:36pm
If we win out, we need 0 help from anyone
zuko
12:39pm
This is the way
Greg4BYU
12:42pm
From this, it looks like BYU winning Saturday assures us a CCG appearance
Brandoblueblood
12:50pm
This table is just a table of most likely CCG matchups, not guaranteed
zuko
1:00pm
BYU clinches if they beat ASU and either CO or ISU lose this week *OR* next week
Greg4BYU
1:18pm
Almost. If BYU beats ASU and LOSES to Houston BYU is still in the CCG if...
Greg4BYU
1:14pm
Kansas State is more likely to beat Iowa State than Utah is anyway
BYUFootballisBack
12:47pm
So basically… BYU loses this weekend - we need lots of help.
46in96
12:35pm
If BYU loses to ArizState they still make it into the CCG if either...
Greg4BYU
12:39pm
BYU and CO play at 1:30. Utah at 5. If we win and CO wins, a Utah win locks us…
46in96
12:40pm
We have an 80% chance? Wow
paulb
2:20pm
Feels much more daunting then that but when you look at the Massey win chances
BYUFootballisBack
3:45pm
Is this just based on a simple 50/50 outcome of each game?
Mitty
3:05pm
Using Masey (maybe a different) ratings, I think based on previous posts
NYC and Japan
3:09pm
Yep, I use the Massey ratings to simulate the games and then the B12 tiebreakers
zuko
3:11pm
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