...so we do not need to feel forced to cheer for Utah on either Saturday

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Nov 21, 2024
12:36:21pm

Greg4BYU All-American

...as long as either Colorado drops one of their last two and Kansas State beats Iowa State in Farmageddon

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Greg4BYU

Bio page: Greg4BYU
Joined: Jan 14, 2003
Last login: Nov 21, 2024
Total posts: 1,740 (31 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Here's a fun and confusing way to look at most likely CCG teams after this week

zuko

12:21pm

BYU is 100% in the CCG if BYU wins and *either* Colorado OR Iowa St loses 1 more

Greg4BYU

12:28pm

...so we do not need to feel forced to cheer for Utah on either Saturday

Greg4BYU

12:36pm

If we win out, we need 0 help from anyone

zuko

12:39pm

This is the way

Greg4BYU

12:42pm

From this, it looks like BYU winning Saturday assures us a CCG appearance

Brandoblueblood

12:50pm

This table is just a table of most likely CCG matchups, not guaranteed

zuko

1:00pm

BYU clinches if they beat ASU and either CO or ISU lose this week *OR* next week

Greg4BYU

1:18pm

Almost. If BYU beats ASU and LOSES to Houston BYU is still in the CCG if...

Greg4BYU

1:14pm

Kansas State is more likely to beat Iowa State than Utah is anyway

BYUFootballisBack

12:47pm

So basically… BYU loses this weekend - we need lots of help.

46in96

12:35pm

If BYU loses to ArizState they still make it into the CCG if either...

Greg4BYU

12:39pm

BYU and CO play at 1:30. Utah at 5. If we win and CO wins, a Utah win locks us…

46in96

12:40pm

We have an 80% chance? Wow

paulb

2:20pm

Feels much more daunting then that but when you look at the Massey win chances

BYUFootballisBack

3:45pm

Is this just based on a simple 50/50 outcome of each game?

Mitty

3:05pm

Using Masey (maybe a different) ratings, I think based on previous posts

NYC and Japan

3:09pm

Yep, I use the Massey ratings to simulate the games and then the B12 tiebreakers

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