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Nov 21, 2024
12:28
:45
pm
Greg4BYU
All-American
BYU is 100% in the CCG if BYU wins and *either* Colorado OR Iowa St loses 1 more
...but BYU's CCG opponent would not be set unless Colorado wins and Iowa State loses
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Nov 21, 2024 at 12:28:45pm
Message modified by Greg4BYU on Nov 21, 2024 at 12:30:00pm
Message modified by Greg4BYU on Nov 21, 2024 at 12:34:04pm
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Greg4BYU
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Greg4BYU
Joined
Jan 14, 2003
Last login
Nov 24, 2024
Total posts
1,748 (31 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Here's a fun and confusing way to look at most likely CCG teams after this week
zuko
Nov 21, 12:21pm
BYU is 100% in the CCG if BYU wins and *either* Colorado OR Iowa St loses 1 more
Greg4BYU
Nov 21, 12:28pm
...so we do not need to feel forced to cheer for Utah on either Saturday
Greg4BYU
Nov 21, 12:36pm
If we win out, we need 0 help from anyone
zuko
Nov 21, 12:39pm
This is the way
Greg4BYU
Nov 21, 12:42pm
From this, it looks like BYU winning Saturday assures us a CCG appearance
Brandoblueblood
Nov 21, 12:50pm
This table is just a table of most likely CCG matchups, not guaranteed
zuko
Nov 21, 1:00pm
BYU clinches if they beat ASU and either CO or ISU lose this week *OR* next week
Greg4BYU
Nov 21, 1:18pm
Almost. If BYU beats ASU and LOSES to Houston BYU is still in the CCG if...
Greg4BYU
Nov 21, 1:14pm
Kansas State is more likely to beat Iowa State than Utah is anyway
BYUFootballisBack
Nov 21, 12:47pm
So basically… BYU loses this weekend - we need lots of help.
46in96
Nov 21, 12:35pm
If BYU loses to ArizState they still make it into the CCG if either...
Greg4BYU
Nov 21, 12:39pm
BYU and CO play at 1:30. Utah at 5. If we win and CO wins, a Utah win locks us…
46in96
Nov 21, 12:40pm
We have an 80% chance? Wow
paulb
Nov 21, 2:20pm
Feels much more daunting then that but when you look at the Massey win chances
BYUFootballisBack
Nov 21, 3:45pm
Is this just based on a simple 50/50 outcome of each game?
Mitty
Nov 21, 3:05pm
Using Masey (maybe a different) ratings, I think based on previous posts
NYC and Japan
Nov 21, 3:09pm
Yep, I use the Massey ratings to simulate the games and then the B12 tiebreakers
zuko
Nov 21, 3:11pm
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