3:42:22pm
If you look at every year, teams that have lost in the CCG have dropped. They don't drop huge amounts, consistent with the idea that they (generally) lost to a very good team, but it's not like the committee just ignores or excuses the loss
| Year | Pre-CCG Ranks | Post-CCG Ranks | Change |
| 2023 |
ACC: Louisville (14) |
ACC: Louisville (15) Big 12: Oklahoma St (20) B1G: Iowa (17) PAC: Oregon (8) SEC: Georgia (6) AAC: Tulane (NR) |
ACC: -1 Total: -16 (at least) |
| 2022 |
ACC: North Carolina (23) |
ACC: North Carolina (NR) Big 12: TCU (3) PAC: USC (10) SEC: LSU (17) AAC: UCF (NR) |
ACC: -3 (at least) Total: -16 (at least) |
| 2021 |
ACC: Wake Forest (16) |
ACC: Wake Forest (17) Big 12: Oklahoma St (9) B1G: Iowa (15) PAC: Oregon (14) SEC: Georgia (3) AAC: Houston (20) MWC: San Diego St (24) |
ACC: -1 Total: -17 |
| 2019 |
ACC: Virginia (23) |
ACC: Virginia (24) Big 12: Baylor (7) B1G: Wisconsin (8) PAC: Utah (11) SEC: Georgia (5) AAC: Cincinnati (21) |
ACC: -1 Total: -9 |
| 2018 |
Big 12: Texas (14) |
Big 12: Texas (15) B1G: Northwestern (22) PAC: Utah (17) SEC: Georgia (5) MWC: Boise (25) |
Big 12: -1 Total: -6 |
In total, over the last 5 (non-COVID) years that's 29 teams that entered the conference championship game ranked by the committee.... and lost.
24 of those 29 dropped in the rankings *kudos to 2021 Houston who somehow improved their resume/ranking despite taking a loss
The average drop was 2.21 spots (at least)
The median drop was 2 spots
If anything, the committee has shown more willingness recently (post-COVID) to drop teams for losing in a CCG. The last 3 years the average (and median) drop has been about 3 spots
So no, 2 or 3 spots isn't a huge drop. But if you need to be a top 12 team, 2 or 3 spots can absolutely be a killer. And that's hoping it isn't worse with a logjam of SEC teams in the same ranking tier
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