Oct 30, 2024
10:14:25am
10:14:25am
Looking at where all Big 12 teams ends up
Note that I'm using the category values. So BYU counts as +5, when they might actually be +5.13 or something. But by the same token, Kansas only counts as -3.5 when they might well be -3.81 or the like.
| Team | Over/Under Expectations | Running Conference Total |
| BYU | +5 | +5 |
| Arizona St | +2 | +7 |
| Iowa St | +2 | +9 |
| Colorado | +1.5 | +10.5 |
| Kansas St | +1 | +11.5 |
| Houston | +0.5 | +12 |
| Cincinnati | +0.5 | +12.5 |
| Baylor | +0 | +12.5 |
| TCU | +0 | +12.5 |
| West Virginia | -0 | +12.5 |
| Texas Tech | -0.5 | +12 |
| Arizona | -2 | +10 |
| Utah | -2 | +8 |
| UCF | -2 | +6 |
| Oklahoma St | -2.5 | +3.5 |
| Kansas | -3.5 | +0 |
It's also worth noting that KFord still doesn't like BYU.
He has us ranked #24 overall (and #23 in offense). That puts us 3rd in the Big 12 (behind Iowa St and Kansas St) and closer to 4th (Colorado) than to 2nd (Kansas St)
Also worth noting that while he has Utah as well behind us (they're #50), he does give them the #10 defense (93/100). Georgia is a 94, Alabama is a 92, so high praise for that defense and something to watch for. That said, their offense is so abysmal that basically any offense from us should be enough.
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- krindorr
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No, these expectations are based on data. The models have been calibrated based on historical results for 1,000s of
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