Jun 27, 2024
10:54:09am
cougarfan84 All-American
Maybe baseline isn't a good term to use. More of a first-glance "if BYU is as
good as we expect them to be next year" they should be able to reach that.

It's also a bit of an optimistic viewpoint viewing BYU as winning all the games they are "favored" in and losing all the games they would be "underdogs" in when the reality is that they end up slipping up and losing a game or two they aren't supposed to lose and possibly winning a game or two they shouldn't.

I mainly came up with the projection based on winning home games vs. the middle of the league, losing road games vs. the middle of the league. Winning home and road games vs. the bottom of the league (WVU, Utah, Colorado), and losing home/road games vs. the top of the league (Houston/Kansas/Iowa St.)

I agree that it's probably likely we lose another game or two against teams like Baylor or Arizona which would put us at 11-9 or 10-10 on the season. But BYU did catch a bit of a break this year in only playing the top 4 teams (Houston/Kansas/Iowa St./Baylor) in the conference once each while they play 5 games against the bottom 3 teams (WVU, Utah, Colorado).
cougarfan84
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