their games this season (at Florida). However, I would say there are 8 games that they "should" win this year, and 4 that are essentially "toss-ups". Those 4 games are:
at Florida
at Arizona St.
at UCLA
at Oregon
(you could argue USC belongs in this group, but SP+ isn't very high on them for the upcoming year).
It isn't unreasonable to think that they go 1-3 or 2-2 against that slate and end up at 9-3 or 10-2. Of course, SP+ also puts Utah as preseason #14, with no other PAC-12 team in the top 30. As such, it's understandable that they would be favored in most their games.