you can see why Zuko's simulations have us at an 80% chance, Massey has

BYU with a 55% chance to beat ASU and a 90% chance over Houston, we have the best odds of winning out by far at 49.5%

Iowa State is "likely" to lose one of their next 2, 62% chance against Utah, 56% chance against Kansas State, winning both would be under 34.72%

Arizona State is likely to lose one of their next 2 45% chance against BYU, 58% chance against Arizona, 26.1% chance of both

Colorado is likely to lose one of their next two, 43% chance against Kansas, 59% against Oklahoma State, 25.47% of both


Idk if I agree with Massey's win probabilities on a few of the games, but it is interesting data at least


If BYU were to lose to ASU, the probability of the other teams also winning the most of the other 7 games is pretty low, hence why BYU has such a high chance of getting in