Almost. If BYU beats ASU and LOSES to Houston BYU is still in the CCG if...

Nov 21, 2024
1:14:41pm

Greg4BYU All-American

Colorado loses one of their last two (Kansas or Oklahoma State)

OR...

Iowa State loses one of their last two (Utah or Kansas State)

So pretty good chances still even if BYU loses to Houston

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Greg4BYU

Bio page: Greg4BYU
Joined: Jan 14, 2003
Last login: Nov 21, 2024
Total posts: 1,740 (31 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Here's a fun and confusing way to look at most likely CCG teams after this week

zuko

Nov 21, 12:21pm

BYU is 100% in the CCG if BYU wins and *either* Colorado OR Iowa St loses 1 more

Greg4BYU

Nov 21, 12:28pm

...so we do not need to feel forced to cheer for Utah on either Saturday

Greg4BYU

Nov 21, 12:36pm

If we win out, we need 0 help from anyone

zuko

Nov 21, 12:39pm

This is the way

Greg4BYU

Nov 21, 12:42pm

From this, it looks like BYU winning Saturday assures us a CCG appearance

Brandoblueblood

Nov 21, 12:50pm

This table is just a table of most likely CCG matchups, not guaranteed

zuko

Nov 21, 1:00pm

BYU clinches if they beat ASU and either CO or ISU lose this week *OR* next week

Greg4BYU

Nov 21, 1:18pm

Almost. If BYU beats ASU and LOSES to Houston BYU is still in the CCG if...

Greg4BYU

Nov 21, 1:14pm

Kansas State is more likely to beat Iowa State than Utah is anyway

BYUFootballisBack

Nov 21, 12:47pm

So basically… BYU loses this weekend - we need lots of help.

46in96

Nov 21, 12:35pm

If BYU loses to ArizState they still make it into the CCG if either...

Greg4BYU

Nov 21, 12:39pm

BYU and CO play at 1:30. Utah at 5. If we win and CO wins, a Utah win locks us…

46in96

Nov 21, 12:40pm

We have an 80% chance? Wow

paulb

Nov 21, 2:20pm

Feels much more daunting then that but when you look at the Massey win chances

BYUFootballisBack

Nov 21, 3:45pm

Is this just based on a simple 50/50 outcome of each game?

Mitty

Nov 21, 3:05pm

Using Masey (maybe a different) ratings, I think based on previous posts

NYC and Japan

Nov 21, 3:09pm

Yep, I use the Massey ratings to simulate the games and then the B12 tiebreakers

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