Basically meaning that 100% of the time an 11-win P5 team would have qualified for the playoffs over the last 10 seasons had they used the same format they are using now. 10-win teams are closer to a 50-50 proposition (with major preference going to Big Ten and SEC teams in that case). There have been a few 9-win teams to make it, but they have typically had very tough schedules and have only made it in years where there aren't very many 10-win teams (the only 10-2 teams who would have been left out in favor of a 9-3 team are Washington St. in 2018 and West Virginia in 2016).