I agree on 8 win teams, 9 win teams are going to depend on who it is

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Oct 3, 2024
11:40:47am

NOCAL_YFAN Truly Addicted User

I agree on 8 win teams, 9 win teams are going to depend on who it is

Unfortunately, there are 9-3 B1G/SEC teams that could very well get at large spots over a 1 loss non-champion Big12 or ACC team if they are a name brand with only "quality losses." I'm not saying it SHOULD be that way, just that it is QUITE POSSIBLE that it could be that way. CFP NY6 selection historically supports this.

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NOCAL_YFAN

Bio page: NOCAL_YFAN
Joined: Jul 11, 2001
Last login: Oct 3, 2024
Total posts: 19,144 (11 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

I hadn't really considered this until today. But would BYU need to win the Big12

Cougar TD

9:59am

The Big12 could get 3 teams in the CFP if Kstate, BYU, and ISU go undefeated the

CougarTwins

10:02am

could, but would they? I would be shocked with 3 Big12 teams.

Cougar TD

10:04am

I think most would be shocked with 3 Big 12 teams, because they don't trust any

cougarfan84

10:07am

The odds are stacked against the outcome, but a 1 loss B12

stansburycoug

11:56am

Even a 2 loss team with 11 wins is likely to get in. Highly unlikely an 11 win

NYC and Japan

1:37pm

There are a lot of other factors - namely what other teams in the country do.

cougarfan84

10:04am

To be safe a team needs to be in the top 10 maybe 11 in rankings for an at large spot.

PJMort

10:04am

Last year, the #11 team would have been the last at-large bid. That team was

cougarfan84

10:15am

I think 11-2 (lose CCG) probably gets you in. 10-2 is risky.

NYC and Japan

12:25pm

Every 11-win P5 team since the start of the CFP has finished in the top 11.

cougarfan84

12:55pm

I don't think that the Big 12 will be given an at-large bid

BYU Fan

10:05am

It could happen based on circumstances

Belboz

10:08am

It could but when push comes to shove, the Big 12 will get excluded

BYU Fan

10:21am

It probably depends on other circumstances. I think a 1 loss Utah team

Belboz

10:28am

But to get an at-large bid, Utah would be at best 11-2

BYU Fan

10:30am

that was a bad one. How about Iowa State or BYU?

Belboz

10:40am

It's certainly possible and would probably be deserved at 12-1

BYU Fan

10:50am

Looking back 5 season (skipping Covid year), 100% of teams with 11-2 records or

jreid191

11:17am

and a 1 loss Big 12 team would be even more likely to make it.

Belboz

11:51am

no it wouldnt

Socrates Johnson

1:28pm

Sadly, this

SoBlueitHurts

1:06pm

Board name checks out

Cougar TD

1:14pm

11 wins basically guarantees BYU a top-10 CFP ranking and thus a likely CFP bid

Doogal McCougar

10:14am

10-2 in the regular season puts them in the discussion for an at-large bid, but

jreid191

10:19am

Isn't most likely that if the B12 gets 2 teams in, it will be the winner and loser of the conference championship game?

HarlemCoug

10:19am

Absolutely. Losing in the CCG typically doesn't result in a drop in ranking

jreid191

10:26am

There are 7 at large bids available. Notre Dame just has to be decent and they

NOCAL_YFAN

10:26am

There is a 0% chance any 8-4 or 9-3 team gets in over any 11-1 P4 team

BYUFootballisBack

10:53am

There are currently 7 non-Big12 teams with 1 loss ranked ahead of BYU and all

NOCAL_YFAN

11:29am

RE: There are currently 7 non-Big12 teams with 1 loss ranked ahead of BYU and

BYUFootballisBack

12:05pm

Every 11-win P4 will almost for sure make the playoff. The question comes to

jreid191

11:35am

I agree on 8 win teams, 9 win teams are going to depend on who it is

NOCAL_YFAN

11:40am

Except for the fact that a 9-win team from SEC/B1G has literally NEVER been

jreid191

11:46am

You're making the mistake of equating P5 with the current P2+2. The better

NOCAL_YFAN

11:50am

In that case we have a sample size of 0. Only close comparison in that case

jreid191

12:29pm

You're assuming SEC and B1G control the committee, which is inaccurate. I think

NYC and Japan

12:34pm

I hope you are right

SoBlueitHurts

1:13pm

My gut tells me this is what will happen and I base it on Gary Barta explaining

SoBlueitHurts

1:10pm

It think it depends on how good SMU and Iowa are. If they finish high in the

royal_blue

10:35am

2 teams losing to freakin' Pitt did not help

SoBlueitHurts

1:13pm

Just looked back over the last several years, and based off history a B12 team

jreid191

11:21am

I think it is a generally safe assumption to say 11 wins or conference champion

cougarfan84

12:59pm

I think so.

CaughtForaTouchdown

11:35am

This is my feeling, sadly

SoBlueitHurts

1:14pm

Let's just focus on AZ

12:25pm

probably need to get to the conf title game at least

MaxxPower

12:29pm

ESPN projects a 2 loss BYU gets in

MyTwoCents

1:16pm

Let's find out! Go Cougs! Or just win CCG and make it a moot point

NYC and Japan

1:33pm

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