Mar 24, 2025
9:14:51am
9:14:51am
Here's my tally. The probabilities I used were slightly different than what
krindorr used, but the Round 1 story was about the same. I used odds from mcubed which I believe uses seed-vs-seed results from before 1986, and I'm assuming krindorr used something more recent.
This is just the total wins vs expectation. IE, given the seed-vs-seed matchups the B12 had, you would've expected them to win 1.7 games less than they actually did last week.
| Teams | Rd 1 | Rd 2 | Total | |
| B1G | 8 | 2.1 | -0.2 | 1.8 |
| B12 | 7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| SEC | 13 | -1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| WCC | 2 | 0.9 | -0.5 | 0.4 |
| MWC | 3 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.3 |
| American | 1 | -0.7 | 0.0 | -0.7 |
| Big East | 5 | 0.1 | -0.9 | -0.9 |
| ACC | 4 | -1.5 | 0.1 | -1.5 |
| OTHER | 21 | -1.5 | -0.6 | -2.1 |
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