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Mar 22, 2025
4:48:14am
krindorr All-American
Wins against expectation by conference

ACC

Team Seed Expected Wins Actual Wins WoE
Duke 1 0.987 1 + .013
Clemson 5 0.647 0 - .647
Louisville 8 0.481 0 - .481
ACC Total       -1.115

 

Big 12

Team Seed Expected Wins Actual Wins WoE
Houston 1 0.987 1 + .013
Tex Tech 3 0.853 1 + .147
Iowa St  3 0.853 1 + .147
Arizona 4 0.793 1 + .207
BYU 6 0.609 1 + .391
Kansas 7 0.582 0 - .582
Baylor 9 0.519 1 + .481
XII Total       +.804

 

B1G

Team Seed Expected Wins Actual Wins WoE
Mich St 2 0.931 1 + .069
Wisconsin 3 0.853 1 + .147
Purdue 4 0.793 1 + .207
Maryland 4 0.793 1 + .207
Michigan 5 0.647 1 + .353
Oregon 5 0.647 1 + .353
Illinois 6 0.609 1 + .391
UCLA 7 0.582 1 + .418
B1G Total        + 2.145

 

SEC

Team Seed Expected Wins Actual Wins WoE
Auburn 1 0.987 1 + .013
Florida 1 0.987 1 + .013
Alabama 2 0.931 1 + .069
Tennessee 2 0.931 1 + .069
Kentucky 3 0.853 1 + .147
Texas A&M 4 0.793 1 + .207
Ole Miss 6 0.609 1 + .391
Missouri 6 0.609 0 - .609
Miss St 8 0.481 0 - .481
Georgia 9 0.519 0 - .519
Oklahoma 9 0.519 0 - .519
Vanderbilt  10 0.418 0 - .418
Ole Miss 10 0.418 1 + .582
SEC Total       - 1.055

 

Big East

Team Seed Expected Wins Actual Wins WoE
St Johns 2 0.931 1 +. 069
Marquette 7 0.582 1 + .418
UConn 8 0.481 1 + .519
Creighton 9 0.519 1 + .481
Xavier 11 0.391 0 - .391
BE Total       + 1.096

 

 

This message has been modified
Originally posted on Mar 22, 2025 at 4:48:14am
Message modified by krindorr on Mar 22, 2025 at 4:49:49am
Message modified by krindorr on Mar 22, 2025 at 4:50:51am
krindorr
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krindorr
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Last login
Mar 24, 2025
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Related Threads Topic: THANKS A LOT JAYHAWKS (provoprodigy, Mar 22, 2025 at 3:55am)

Children:
Hey krindorr, what was your source for these #s? Would be interesting to see after the first weekend is complete. (unctoothman, Mar 24, 2025 at 8:55am)

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