as BamaCoug has stated several times today on CB and Twitter FPI was wrong 52%

Sign up, and you'll be able to vote in polls. Sign up

Report problem with this ad

Jan 3, 2025
2:31:31pm

Schultz is back All-American

as BamaCoug has stated several times today on CB and Twitter FPI was wrong 52%

of the time this year. That's not a good model. People could have made a lot of money betting against FPI this year.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Jan 3, 2025 at 2:31:31pm

Message modified by Schultz is back on Jan 3, 2025 at 2:35:46pm

Report problem with this ad

Schultz is back

Bio page: Schultz is back
Joined: Jan 14, 2013
Last login: Jan 4, 2025
Total posts: 10,092 (961 FO)

Report problem with this ad

Messages

Author

Time

I understand why people hate it this season, but FPI is a decent model

bythenumbers

Jan 3, 2:28pm

as BamaCoug has stated several times today on CB and Twitter FPI was wrong 52%

Schultz is back

Jan 3, 2:31pm

Read my post on model calibration. I don't think I agree with his method.

bythenumbers

Jan 3, 2:35pm

I understand how models work and that taking one game in isolation doesn't prove

Schultz is back

Jan 3, 2:43pm

You shouldn't just evaluate the prediction but the degree of confidence

bythenumbers

Jan 3, 2:51pm

The OP linked the data. Go read it. According to it in 2024, FPI was “correct” 72% of the time, not 48% like you say.

TCuz

Jan 3, 4:07pm

Report problem with this ad

Posting on CougarBoard

In order to post, you will need to either sign up or log in.

Report problem with this ad