If SMU blows out Clemson, our win vs SMU looks better.
If ASU blows out ISU, we probably look like #2 option in Big 12
4 B10s, 3 SECs, ND, B12 champ, ACC champ, and G5 conf champ (prob Boise St) are basically locks.
That leaves Alabama, Miami, S Carolina and BYU fighting for last spot.
I’d guess 2 outcomes above have to happen for us to be considered. Even then, the committee and TV would prefer Bama … unless they get cold feet on setting the precedent that regular season no longer matters and decide 3 loss teams shouldn’t get in. In that case they’d have to decide between brand/Heisman candidate (Miami) and us (better resume albeit front loaded).
I’m not holding my breath.