If we win out (with two good wins against ASU and Colorado) we absolutely pass Boise for the 4th bye.
If we lose a game (either the CCG or one of ASU/Houston) we won't be in the Top 7 (which we'd need to be top 8 when accounting for Boise St jumping up to the 4th spot). With a loss, can't see a way we jump 4 of Ohio St, Penn St, Indiana, Notre Dame, Oregon unless they get a crazy upset