My Account
Sign up, and you'll be able to customize your font size and more!
Sign up
Report problem with this ad
Start a related thread
Start a related poll
Reply via Boardmail
Oct 24, 2024
4:26
:06
pm
HarlemCoug
Intervention Needed
It isn't true that the point spread is "off by an average of zero". The easiest way to disprove this is that different
bookies give different odds. It's impossible for all of them to average their spreads in such a way that "off by zero" is their end result.
Start a related thread
Start a related poll
Reply via Boardmail
Report problem with this ad
HarlemCoug
Previous username
Big12
Bio page
HarlemCoug
Joined
Sep 8, 2014
Last login
Oct 24, 2024
Total posts
34,994 (4,387 FO)
Report problem with this ad
Messages
Author
Time
You guys know the point spread is the best predictor of the outcome? It’s off by
Genghis Spreads
4:21pm
It isn't true that the point spread is "off by an average of zero". The easiest way to disprove this is that different
HarlemCoug
4:26pm
That doesn’t disprove anything. Different bookies can be off for different
Genghis Spreads
4:29pm
It isn't about the error being 0, it's about the betting being roughly equal on each side of the spread.
CougPrime
4:34pm
^^^ This. The spread moves to keep $$ bet on each team approximately equal,
AT Cougar
4:43pm
It’s not off by zero every game. It’s off by an average of zero.
Genghis Spreads
5:21pm
It isn't, though. It's based on bets, not results.
CougPrime
5:32pm
It is based on bets. But it’s the best predictor, for reasons I stated in the OP
Genghis Spreads
6:00pm
Bets spreads do not converge to zero error against the result. Feel free to start keeping track if you don't believe me
CougPrime
6:06pm
Actually, I have. But before I tested it, the results are found in this book:
Genghis Spreads
6:24pm
The point spread is designed to do one thing...
Adrielle
4:48pm
Report problem with this ad
Posting on CougarBoard
In order to post, you will need to either
sign up
or
log in
.
Report problem with this ad