Still off by a factor of 10 but you get partial credit for showing your work

Sign up, and you can customize which countdowns you see. Sign up

Report problem with this ad

Oct 24, 2024
6:35:33am

Hiccupless 3rd String

Still off by a factor of 10 but you get partial credit for showing your work

Report problem with this ad

Hiccupless

Bio page: Hiccupless
Joined: Aug 3, 2022
Last login: Oct 24, 2024
Total posts: 276 (0 FO)

Report problem with this ad

Messages

Author

Time

Big 12 Football Final Standings Analysis

Skeeziks All-American

5:48am

there is a 6% chance Utah will be ranked higher than byu at end of season.

conetah

6:08am

How do you get that?

durandal

6:13am

Actually my math is bad. I change my answer to .08% (edited)

conetah

6:27am

Still off by a factor of 10 but you get partial credit for showing your work

Hiccupless

6:35am

Fixed it professor ha. Good catch

conetah

6:46am

That is not quite correct since Utah finishing in 4th likely means beating BYU

jreid191

9:32am

I think you’re reading it wrong. Need to multiply probabilities, not add them.

Hiccupless

6:20am

Yup, I was. I redid it

conetah

6:27am

I looked at it and 99.2% of the time BYU better; 0.2% Utah better and tie 0.6%

Skeeziks

6:34am

Thanks. Was just going off your rounded numbers above. Cool simulation.

Hiccupless

6:37am

Uhhh, I really like, and really don't like 99.2% odds, then.

7:00am

Bamacoug worthy stuff. Love it.

Pro Logic

6:45am

This is cool, although the win probability of beating OSU was less than 1% on

ForzaPuma

6:57am

Good stuff

dodgersjazzcougs

7:11am

One in five chance that we miss the CCG outright. We need to remember that.

Greg4BYU

7:43am

Interesting to me that beating UCF has a higher probability than beating Utah

Flyski

7:48am

I'm no math guy, but how can BYU and ISU both have above a 50% chance of

Cougs'16

8:44am

No - if they tie for first then they both show up in the 1 column. Don't try to do tie breakers here.

Skeeziks

8:46am

Ah right. Thanks

Cougs'16

8:50am

Great insight. Would love to see this updated each week.

9:03am

So 82% chance we make the Big 12 CCG. That's all that matters.

10:26am

Report problem with this ad

Posting on CougarBoard

In order to post, you will need to either sign up or log in.

Report problem with this ad