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Sep 10, 2024
3:39:03pm
krindorr Playmaker
By ESPN win probabilities, there is a 0.014% chance of this happening... So yeah, there's a case where it happens

Here's the odds of winning each game individually and the odds of being undefeated through that game (listed in parentheses)

  • @Wyoming 86.4% (86.4%)
  • Kansas St 33.9% (29.3%)
  • @Baylor 44.2% (12.9%)
  • Arizona 53.4% (6.91%)
  • Oklahoma St 36.7% (2.54%)
  • @UCF 18.3% (0.46%)
  • @Utah 26.8% (0.12%)
  • Kansas 42.6% (0.05%)
  • @Arizona St 34.7% (0.02%)
  • Houston 75.3% (0.01%)

Plus I'd emphasize that this (14 out of 100000 times) is probably an underestimate, given that the probabilities all move together and aren't actually independent. So odds are way better (140x) than the proverbial one in a million

This message has been modified
Originally posted on Sep 10, 2024 at 3:39:03pm
Message modified by krindorr on Sep 10, 2024 at 3:40:09pm
Message modified by krindorr on Sep 10, 2024 at 10:02:16pm
krindorr
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krindorr
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