Actually, I just realized that I didn't look at seeding if BYU finishes 4th

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Mar 3, 2024
7:48:25am

Skeeziks All-American

Actually, I just realized that I didn't look at seeding if BYU finishes 4th

in conference. So final conclusion isn't right. All of those scenarios are just where they win out and are 3rd - and in those cases Texas Tech had to win vs Baylor - which is why around 50% of the time when BYU wins out and is 3rd that Texas Tech also won out.

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Skeeziks

Bio page: Skeeziks
Joined: Aug 6, 2003
Last login: Oct 17, 2024
Total posts: 9,669 (131 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Big 12 Standings Probabilities - and BYU Big 12 Tourney Seeding

Skeeziks

Mar 3, 7:08am

Thanks for all your work! This is awesome! One question:

Mar 3, 7:21am

I think that he is accounting for the probabilities of ties

Greg Kite's 'stache

Mar 3, 7:25am

Correct. In first charts only looking at regular season finish - not tie breaks

Skeeziks

Mar 3, 7:32am

Ahh. Thanks for clarifying.

Mar 3, 7:34am

Does the chart have us listed as 1-0 against Texas Tech? I thought our chances

Mar 3, 7:35am

I may have read the chart wrong, but without the tie breaker against them

Mar 3, 7:37am

That chart can be confusing. You need to look down the chart to see record of

Skeeziks

Mar 3, 7:39am

I see that now. So the odds are suggesting there is around a 50% chance

Mar 3, 7:41am

Actually, I just realized that I didn't look at seeding if BYU finishes 4th

Skeeziks

Mar 3, 7:48am

Church can wait. Don't leave us hangin'

Croweater

Mar 3, 7:57am

Basically we need to win out and hope Texas tech drops 1.

Tuskaloosa Cougar

Mar 3, 8:08am

They have an easier schedule I’m hopeful but not counting on it but 5th place

SaintJeff

Mar 3, 9:59am

RE: Big 12 Standings Probabilities - and BYU Big 12 Tourney Seeding

NOCAL_YFAN

Mar 3, 8:50am

If UH and ISU don’t have any chance for 3rd, how can Baylor get 2nd?

Goobs

Mar 3, 9:42am

Same question for TT. If they have a better chance at 3/4 how do they get there

cypresstx

Mar 3, 10:57am

Baylor can tie for 2nd place, but neither ISU nor UH can end up any lower than 2nd

Greg Kite's 'stache

Mar 3, 12:26pm

A conference where Kansas ends 6th place, and Texas and Oklahoma in bottom half?

viper

Mar 3, 1:28pm

Great job @Skeeziks. Very informative!!!

Mar 3, 4:19pm

Who holds the tie breaker between BYU and Baylor?

SaintJeff

Mar 4, 8:01pm

Baylor won, Texas lost. 3 seed got harder and Texas no longer competing for 4&5

NYC and Japan

Mar 4, 10:00pm

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