Mar 18, 2020
5:02:37pm
5:02:37pm
Interesting article - 0.125% death rate of those infected. That sounds great
compared to some of the frightening predictions we've read elsewhere.
"Projecting the Diamond Princess mortality rate onto the age structure of the U.S. population, the death rate among people infected with Covid-19 would be 0.125%. But since this estimate is based on extremely thin data — there were just seven deaths among the 700 infected passengers and crew — the real death rate could stretch from five times lower (0.025%) to five times higher (0.625%)."
"Projecting the Diamond Princess mortality rate onto the age structure of the U.S. population, the death rate among people infected with Covid-19 would be 0.125%. But since this estimate is based on extremely thin data — there were just seven deaths among the 700 infected passengers and crew — the real death rate could stretch from five times lower (0.025%) to five times higher (0.625%)."
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3/18/20 7:46pm
3/18/20 11:46pm
3/19/20 6:17am
Because death is a low frequency event, you need a very large sample size for "statistically credible" data
3/19/20 8:14am
3/19/20 8:17am
You do realize that I'm an actuary and understand mortality rates and what "statistically credible" means?
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