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Feb 16, 2024
8:45
:50
am
DataMouth
All-American
our depth at just about every position is not B12 level
our starters at most every position are not b12 level either. We cannot afford injuries. Period.
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DataMouth
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DataMouth
Joined
Aug 12, 2005
Last login
Nov 7, 2024
Total posts
15,343 (203 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Blog: Oddsmakers Don't Expect BYU Back in a Bowl Game in 2024
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[Cougs Daily]
Casey Lundquist
Feb 16, 8:00am
Thanks Kalani.
TeeKaa
Feb 16, 8:01am
Yeah? Well I do.
mokelembembe
Feb 16, 8:02am
I do too
byusage
Feb 16, 8:04am
RE: Blog: Oddsmakers Don't Expect BYU Back in a Bowl Game in 2024
crimedog
Feb 16, 8:05am
We were a pick 6 away from a bowl game last year
B Blue
Feb 16, 8:08am
Duh. Our qb position is crap,
Idacoug
Feb 16, 8:15am
Because it'll be an ny6 bowl. Go Cougs
deejo
Feb 16, 8:39am
our depth at just about every position is not B12 level
DataMouth
Feb 16, 8:45am
Keep in mind that oddsmakers set the lines based on where they think the stupid public will place bets evenly on
ManicBlue
Feb 16, 8:48am
Ignoring the BYU angle, I wonder if the FanDuel line differs from other Vegas lines due to FanDuel bettors being so
ColoSpgs
Feb 16, 8:59am
They set line at 4.5 last year for BYU, so I think that was pretty accurate.
NewBYUfannonLDS
Feb 16, 9:43am
I'd imagine they're not much different - gamblers are smart and would take advantage of major differences
krindorr
Feb 17, 5:07am
I bet on BYU on the -4.5 line at FanDuel last season the same day it was posted
NewBYUfannonLDS
Feb 17, 9:59am
They set the line on how they think the public will bet. They want even money to go down on both sides which is why
ManicBlue
Feb 17, 11:56am
Comparing 2023 schedule to 2024
krindorr
Feb 17, 4:56pm
Nice job! Yes, it's not going to be a cake walk by any means but it won't be the 11th toughest schedule either (again by
ManicBlue
Feb 17, 5:06pm
Using SP+ to predict win probabilities for each game
krindorr
Feb 17, 5:50pm
I just don't believe the SP+ ratings at this point.
ManicBlue
Feb 17, 6:12pm
I think that's very fair - right now it's the most objective thing that's out so best we have...but still mostly a guess
krindorr
Feb 17, 6:50pm
I agree it's the best right now, but as you said, still a guess and likely to change a lot IMO.
ManicBlue
Feb 17, 6:58pm
Was curious how good a predictor SP+ preseason rankings are...so here's data from 2023
krindorr
Feb 18, 7:25am
Not surprising though that it would be generally accurate. How that relates to wins/losses though is tougher to
ManicBlue
Feb 18, 12:44pm
I already bet on over at 4.5 just like I did last year, the first day the
NewBYUfannonLDS
Feb 17, 7:02pm
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