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Feb 16, 2024
8:04:36am

byusage All-American

I do too

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byusage

Bio page: byusage
Joined: Jul 2, 2011
Last login: Sep 19, 2024
Total posts: 5,178 (1 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Blog: Oddsmakers Don't Expect BYU Back in a Bowl Game in 2024 View

[Cougs Daily] Casey Lundquist

Feb 16, 8:00am

Thanks Kalani.

TeeKaa

Feb 16, 8:01am

Yeah? Well I do.

mokelembembe

Feb 16, 8:02am

I do too

byusage

Feb 16, 8:04am

RE: Blog: Oddsmakers Don't Expect BYU Back in a Bowl Game in 2024

crimedog

Feb 16, 8:05am

We were a pick 6 away from a bowl game last year

B Blue

Feb 16, 8:08am

Duh. Our qb position is crap,

Idacoug

Feb 16, 8:15am

Because it'll be an ny6 bowl. Go Cougs

deejo

Feb 16, 8:39am

our depth at just about every position is not B12 level

DataMouth

Feb 16, 8:45am

Keep in mind that oddsmakers set the lines based on where they think the stupid public will place bets evenly on

ManicBlue

Feb 16, 8:48am

Ignoring the BYU angle, I wonder if the FanDuel line differs from other Vegas lines due to FanDuel bettors being so

ColoSpgs

Feb 16, 8:59am

They set line at 4.5 last year for BYU, so I think that was pretty accurate.

NewBYUfannonLDS

Feb 16, 9:43am

I'd imagine they're not much different - gamblers are smart and would take advantage of major differences

krindorr

Feb 17, 5:07am

I bet on BYU on the -4.5 line at FanDuel last season the same day it was posted

NewBYUfannonLDS

Feb 17, 9:59am

They set the line on how they think the public will bet. They want even money to go down on both sides which is why

ManicBlue

Feb 17, 11:56am

Comparing 2023 schedule to 2024

krindorr

Feb 17, 4:56pm

Nice job! Yes, it's not going to be a cake walk by any means but it won't be the 11th toughest schedule either (again by

ManicBlue

Feb 17, 5:06pm

Using SP+ to predict win probabilities for each game

krindorr

Feb 17, 5:50pm

I just don't believe the SP+ ratings at this point.

ManicBlue

Feb 17, 6:12pm

I think that's very fair - right now it's the most objective thing that's out so best we have...but still mostly a guess

krindorr

Feb 17, 6:50pm

I agree it's the best right now, but as you said, still a guess and likely to change a lot IMO.

ManicBlue

Feb 17, 6:58pm

Was curious how good a predictor SP+ preseason rankings are...so here's data from 2023

krindorr

Feb 18, 7:25am

Not surprising though that it would be generally accurate. How that relates to wins/losses though is tougher to

ManicBlue

Feb 18, 12:44pm

I already bet on over at 4.5 just like I did last year, the first day the

NewBYUfannonLDS

Feb 17, 7:02pm

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