data (slopes especially) of other countries and areas. Reference my Occam's razor post for more detail. Use a bell curve with a similar length of time as other viruses and not trying to muddy the model with so many assumptions of the actual disease itself. Do you have any knowledge of how ML models work and how reliant they are on the actual inputs and the fact you can't "fix" it after because it's almost a black box? Anyway, the fact you think I'm not comfortable arguing the main point shows you haven't read my many posts on why I think the other models are wrong your views and the others I referenced above will continue to give "ongoing ad hoc justifications (e.g. "... and that's not me on the film; they tampered with that, too") successfully prevent outright disproval."
Keep using jargon and phrases though to make yourself sound superior.