Below are probabilities of outcomes for Big 12 play - based on kenpom ratings (acknowledging kenpom will shift as teams start actually playing games).
BYU starts out at the bottom end of the top tier of teams.
BYU's conference schedule looks pretty favorable (with where teams are rated now). BYU has the fewest games against the top quartile teams out of all teams in the conference. In chart below blue blocks indicate you play that team and gray you do not.
Summarized:
Overall summary:
Go Cougs! Outperform these initial assessments!