Arizona State is pretty similar, numbers-wise to Kansas.
If you feel like we should have beaten Kansas, even if we played as bad, then we should have a shot. Hopefully there are some redzone improvements, but we'll see.
FEI:
BYU: 48 offense, 16 defense, 7 special teams
Arizona State: 19 offense, 32 defense, 90 special teams
Kansas: 18 offense, 54 defense, 70 special teams
So, while I don't think anyone should feel super confident in a win, I also look at that Kansas game and feel like there's a lot we could do better with a week of refocussing and given another shot, we could easily come away with a win.
If it's a 50/50 game, people should think it's a dire situation, either.
Maybe the ball will bounce of their helmet this time?