Mar 28, 2025
8:57:23am
Duke Silver All-American
As fun as it would be for the Jazz to draft Flagg, it's important to remember
that it's extremely unlikely the Jazz are able to even with the worst record in the league.

With the worst record in the league, your odds of getting the #1 overall pick is only 14% - the same as the 2nd and 3rd worst records.

The worst record is guaranteed a top 5 pick, with the odds as follows:

1: 14%
2: 13.42%
3: 12.75%
4. 11.97%
5 47.86%

So if the Jazz end with the worst record, they are nearly 3.5x more likely to end up with the #5 pick than the #1 pick. Most people on here know this or at least get the gist of it, but in case some don't...I wouldn't get your hopes up too much, especially considering the Jazz are one of the 3 or 4 teams in the league who have never once moved up the draft order from their end of year standings.

The good news is this draft is much stronger than last year with a few really good players outside of Flagg.
Duke Silver
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Marshmallow Matey
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Duke Silver
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