BYU has played 5 of their 10 hardest games in conference so far. They’re 1-4 in those. We only have 3 of our 10 easiest games left. Assuming chalk, we go 1-4 in our next 5 hardest and 2-1 in our next 3 easiest.

That’d be a 9-11 finish.

(Chalk meaning we win the same proportion of hard games as our first 5, and win the same proportion of easy games as our first 7)