If TCU can make the 4 team playoff as a 12-1 team with plenty of "close call" wins, BYU will absolutely be able to do the same thing in a 12 playoff team scenario. If they win out, they're likely ranked between 3-4 in the CFP rankings. You're telling me a loss in the CCG will drop them from 3-4 all the way down to 12-13? There is zero precedent for that happening following a P4 CCG loss.