28-7 @Hawai'i - tough to play on the Island, sure, and Hawai'i is probably better than their record, but they're still a 4-6 G5 team.
29-24 @UNLV - road game against a good G5 team. Okay, sure. UNLV is having a good season for UNLV.
28-21 home vs Nevada - No excuses for this one. Nevada is 0-5 in the MWC and 3-8 overall. It was at home.
Individually you can make a case that it's a long season, bad games happen, etc. But this is 3 of the last 4 games when the score was a lot closer than it should have been. Playing @SJST isn't going to be a cakewalk for BSU with the way they are currently playing. Right now, it's likely they'll face CSU in the CCG. They've gotta start playing better if they don't want to get upset. If they don't win out, they might be watching Army in the CFP.