My hypothetical isn't perfect, but my point is that by the end of the season, it isn't about WHEN you lost games, only HOW MANY you lost/won.
I think it is 50/50 that we lose at least one more. And probably like 40/60 that we lose two more. Three more would be devastating and very unlikely.
But we are sooo far from secruing an 11 or 12 win regular season. Gotta keep perspective.