Vegas is 1-7 this year versus their own spread.

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Nov 8, 2024
5:06:30pm

Carnac Political Junky

Vegas is 1-7 this year versus their own spread.

There is something in their model that tells them BYU isn't as good as they are. But after beating the spread so many times, you have to wonder.

I am usually a huge believer in Las Vegas. It is uncanny at how well they predict outcomes. But they've blown it in regard to BYU in 2024.

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Carnac

Previous username: Carnac el Magnifico
Bio page: Carnac
Joined: Dec 22, 2007
Last login: Nov 12, 2024
Total posts: 47,525 (471 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

My prediction--we score at least 30 and they don't make it to 20.

Carnac

Nov 8, 1:47pm

I don't think we get 30. Their defense is legit and they are at home. 26-13.

Lifer

Nov 8, 1:50pm

I think BYU would have to have 0 TOs, and Utah have 3+ TOs, for BYU to score 30.

ldssdl

Nov 8, 1:52pm

If that is how it plays out, I'll take it.

Carnac

Nov 8, 1:54pm

Inspite of their def. injuries and awful off., Utah's def is better than SMU's

ldssdl

Nov 8, 1:55pm

I expect our defense to give us a few short fields.

Carnac

Nov 8, 2:13pm

Utah's defense has been missing key 2-deep players from their front 7.

ldssdl

Nov 8, 2:26pm

Reid and O'Toole were both back against Houston.

Carnac

Nov 8, 2:30pm

Fair, but they were still missing Tanuvasa, Vimahi, and Tafuna vs. Houston.

ldssdl

Nov 8, 2:34pm

BYU's offense has improved significantly from the SMU game.

acadian8

Nov 8, 2:38pm

Spectacularly untrue.

CasualFan

Nov 8, 2:25pm

You realize I'm the one who calculated that stat you cited? You know what other

ldssdl

Nov 8, 2:31pm

I'll accuse you of the same. You are completely ignoring how their offense is

Carnac

Nov 8, 2:33pm

Not at all. Utah is losing close games in spite of their offense.

ldssdl

Nov 8, 2:37pm

Based on this season, dont' you think it is more likely that BYU wins the TO

Carnac

Nov 8, 2:42pm

I think BYU's defense gets 2 turnovers. But I think it's highly likely Utah's

ldssdl

Nov 8, 2:47pm

Different years, different teams.

Carnac

Nov 8, 5:04pm

Yeah. Here’s the context you’re ignoring

CasualFan

Nov 8, 2:41pm

BYU hasn't scored 30+ points on Utah since 2006. Max Hall, Taysom Hill, and

ldssdl

Nov 8, 2:48pm

lol. Scores from 10 years ago are completely irrelevant.

CasualFan

Nov 8, 2:51pm

You can't disregard the recent history of the rivalry when Utah's HC is the same

ldssdl

Nov 8, 2:58pm

The only recent history is BYU up 17-0 at halftime

CasualFan

Nov 8, 3:00pm

Huh? BYU was up 16-7 against Utah in 2021. 24-10 against UCF 2 weeks ago.

ldssdl

Nov 8, 3:08pm

Vegas is 1-7 this year versus their own spread.

Carnac

Nov 8, 5:06pm

I think we get there in the 4th to put it away. My prediction.

Carnac

Nov 8, 1:53pm

BYU in Big 12 play has gone against the #8, 12, 14, 15, and 16th defenses in ppg

ldssdl

Nov 8, 2:01pm

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