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Nov 5, 2024
6:53:26am
Skeeziks All-American
Big 12 Final Football Standings Probabilities
Below are updated probabilities of final Big 12 standings. BYU solidly in first and Colorado now slightly ahead of Iowa State for second.

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BYU ends at least tied for 1st 83% of the time. Wow! They definitely get to championship game 74% of the time, and 20% of the time they would be in position to go and it would come down to tiebreakers. Only 6% of the time do they end in 3rd or worse and guarantee they won't participate in the championship game.

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Overall for the conference, most likely that the 2nd place team(s) have 7 wins, 2 losses. A reasonable chance also that top two teams have 1 loss or less. And slight chance 2nd place team could have 3 losses.

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If BYU can win on Saturday - they would have a 92% chance of finishing alone or tied for first. Just keep winning!
Skeeziks
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Skeeziks
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Dec 27, 2024
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Related Threads Topic: Big 12 Football Final Standing Analysis (Skeeziks, Oct 27, 2024 at 1:15pm)

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