If we are undefeated and they win out and beat ISU it happens.

12-0 vs 11-1 I bet we are top 5 at that point and they are 8-10.

Most likely way it could happen then is if they won a really close game in the CCG and got the #4 seed and we got the #5 seed
Less likely as we would have to upset the #5 seed but we drop to the #12 and win the first round

Then there are scenarios where they beat us and get the 3 seed and we get the 6 or 11

or alternatively we beat them and get the 2, 3, or 4 seed and they still get in at 11-2 and sneak in at the 10,11,12 seeds

Those alternatives all require an upset in the first round though so

Obviously not likely, but it could "realistically" happen