and continuity do a much better job predicting that. All the top college coaches are saying that, backing up what we see with our own eyes.

On the contrary, if our freshmen are starting and leading the team, it's not a good sign. There's a small chance our freshmen were under-hyped and they are even better players than advertised, and outshine everyone else's 5-star freshmen. That would be awesome, but would be a hugely surprising occurrence.