So the scenario where we'd even be in the top 12 after a loss at the very end of the season would be a 12-0 BYU vs a 12-0 ISU, with ISU winning. If we get to that point, I'm thinking we'd be very close to a top 5 ranking, and we'd drop substantially, probably to 10-11 at best.
If we go into the CCG at 11-1 and lose, I don't think we make an at-large selection. I think we're out of the playoffs completely