If Cincy wins tonight, then beats ISU and KSU, and we drop a game somewhere, we could lose a tiebreaker between us, ISU, and Cincy.

If CU wins tonight, we have a tiebreaker over them because we beat KSU and they didn’t and we don’t have a ton of other high ranking common conference foes. So if we drop a game then ISU v KSU would probably decide first place and we have the tiebreaker over CU (and ISU if they lose to KSU) for second place.