higher probability than we do....wow.

Part of it has to do with traveling to UCF, that's a tough one and they know it. UCF nearly took down ISU in Ames. I think the other factor is that, as abysmal as their offense looks, Utah is a rivalry game and prior to 2021, they had won the last 3-4 games where we clearly had the better team. ISU already played their rival and Kansas looks worse than Utah, so they don't think KSU has a big roadblock. It still doesn't make much sense that one of them HAS to have another loss and they both have a better likelihood than us.

For CO - their slate is easier....we need to root for Cinci to beat them this week. if the Buffs win that game, they play Tech, Utah, Kansas and OSU. Tech is overrated, Utah has no offense that can compete with CO, Kansas is a train wreck....so if we drop 1 and are in a tie with them, we could be praying for OSU to beat them to close out the season. Yikes! I think CO really has a good chance to win out.