I wanted to illustrate that BYU can lose a game and even two and still have a great chance at playing in the ccg. Which then it's puts us only one game away on a neutral field away from the playoff.

What would be interesting to see is how the odds change with losses to various teams. For example, losing to KState would've hurt out chances a lot more than a loss to Arizona. Looking forward it feels like the Utah game will be very important. Utah is probably done, but if they go on a run and win out and we lose one other game they would be ahead of us in tiebreakers.