Oklahoma St with a 57% chance of beating us. It had UCF with a 65% chance of beating us, and Utah was somewhere around 65%.

After the Baylor win, it has us with a 53% chance to beat OSU, Utah’s chances have gone down to 54%, but UCF has only gone down to 61%.

All 3 of those teams lost yesterday. For Arizona, our chances to win were not far from what they were before yesterday at about 66%.

I don’t know how their model works, but they see UCF as our toughest remaining game and yesterday’s results of our win and their loss didn’t change win their probability by very much.