BYU current Massey Rating = 26

Projected Win/Loss record based on Massey projections:

Result - Team - Massey Rating - Record
W - S Illinois - NR - (1-0)
W - @ SMU - 58 - (2-0)
W - @ Wyoming - 112 (3-0)
--------------------------------
L - Kansas State - 10 (3-1)
L - @ Baylor - 43 (3-2)
W - Arizona - 52 (4-2)
L - Oklahoma State - 14 - (4-3)
L - @ UCF - 21 - (4-4)
L - @ Utah - 15 - (4-5)
W - Kansas - 72 - (5-5)
L - @ Arizona State - 34 - (5-6)
W - Houston - 79 - (6-6)

Projected at 6-6 but can you flip @ Baylor and @ Arizona State to wins and then get one big win v Kansas State, Oklahoma State or @ UCF and @ Utah?

Flip those two and get one upset while winning the projected wins and 9-3 seems to be an awesome season.

On the flip side you lose all the projected games as well as two of Arizona, Kansas and Houston and 4-8 is what you are looking at...