They underrate teams that are good developers but not high profile recruiters, so Utah usually exceeds their predictions by one or two games a year. I suspect that's true of BYU too, but probably not to the same extent.

Kelley Ford has been pretty good recently. Here's his thoughts about the schedule:

SIU- N/A
@SMU- 13.2 points better than BYU
@Wyoming- 3 worse
KSU- 10 better
@Baylor- 7.1 better
Arizona- 6.8 better
OKST- 8.6 better
@UCF- 11.5 better
@Utah- 16.6 better
KU- 7.5 better
@ASU- 2.1 better
Houston- 4.8 worse

Prediction is the same, but the margins change a little bit (especially Utah, which he likes a lot more than ESPN)